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  Index Basics - II
How is an index constructed

Index Basics - Part II

Last week, we attempted to demystify a stock index for you ( Index Basics - I ) . Hope it was useful to some of you who previously had very little to do with stock markets. This week, we will try and explain how a stock index is actually constructed. Rest assured that it would not be a lesson in BSc level statistics. Instead, as is our wont, we will use simple mathematics to tell the story. So here it goes…

How is an index constructed?

An ideal index must serve two purposes. First, it should represent the changes taking place in the scrips. Secondly, it must be able to reflect movements in price of some typical shares in order to represent the market better. Starting from this premise, let us see how an index is constructed. The process can be divided into three areas - coverage, base year selection and method of compilation.

Coverage

As explained above, an index should ideally consist of scrips, which represent a wide cross-section of the industry, have good liquidity and a high market cap. The BSE Sensex today lists shares of 30 companies from the so-called 'specified' group. The table below lists the shares along with their market caps.

Table 1: BSE Index (as on May 19, 2000)

Company

Industry

Market cap (Rs mn)

Hindalco

Aluminum

55,407

Bajaj Auto

Auto

41,858

M&M

Auto

21,190

TELCO

Auto

33,475

SBI

Banking

97,892

ACC

Cement

1,461

Gujarat Ambuja

Cement

22,404

Grasim

Diversified

16,987

L&T

Diversified

52,030

Castrol

Energy sources

33,531

HPCL

Energy sources

44,266

Reliance Petroleum

Energy sources

206,037

BHEL

Engineering

24,868

ICICI

Financial Institution

52,151

Colgate

FMCG

20,453

HLL

FMCG

448,326

Nestle

Food/beverages

29,494

Zee Telefilms

Media

182,354

Reliance

Petrochemicals

294,598

Dr. Reddy's

Pharma

35,493

Glaxo

Pharma

19,442

Novartis

Pharma

20,391

Ranbaxy

Pharma

60,497

BSES

Power

35,156

Infosys

Software

427,058

NIIT

Software

69,611

Satyam

Software

75,667

TISCO

Steel

41,810

MTNL

Telecom

100,863

ITC

Diversified

152,403

Total

  

2,717,173

Source: Quantum Information Services

The scrips in the BSE index do not remain a permanent feature. The index has been revamped a total of three times since its formation. The revamp was necessitated to remove scrips which have fallen out of favor with investors for whatever reasons and to bring in those scrips which have enthused marketmen and represent industries which have been the flavor for some time. Take the recent revamp of the Sensex, which took place in March 2000. Indian Hotels (hospitality), Industrial Development Bank of India (finance), Tata Chemicals (chemicals) and Tata Power (electricity) made their way out and in their place came Satyam Computers (software), Zee Telefilms (media), Dr. Reddy's (pharma) and Reliance Petroleum (refining). If you are not a complete ignoramus, this development should seem hardly surprising. Old economy stocks gave way to the new economy ones.

Base year

The base of an index is chosen so as to have a suitable starting point. In case of the BSE, the year was taken as 1979-80. Considerations for the choice were the price stability during the year and proximity to the year in which the index was introduced.

Method of compilation

The two important methods for computation of an index are:

  1. Price weighted arithmetic mean method, and
  2. Capitalization weighted arithmetic mean method.

An example would illustrate the methodology and the differences between the two methods.

Suppose the index comprises the following four securities on the base date:

Share

Price

Total shares

A

80.00

2,000

B

150.00

4,500

C

385.00

2,200

D

55.00

4,000

Prices of the same scrips today:

Share

Price

Total shares

A

80.00

2,000

B

130.00

4,500

C

425.00

2,200

D

75.00

4,000

Under the price weighted arithmetic mean method, the index as at the base date and today would be:

Base Date

Share

Price

Weightage

A

80.00

80/670

0.1194

B

150.00

150/670

0.2239

C

385.00

385/670

0.5746

D

55.00

55/670

0.0821

Base

670.00

 

1.0000

Index = 1.0000 x 1000 = 1000

Today

Share

Price

Weightage

A

80.00

80/670

0.1194

B

130.00

130/670

0.1940

C

425.00

425/670

0.6343

D

75.00

75/670

0.1119

Total

710.00

 

1.0596

Base

670.00

   

Index = 1.0596 x 1000 = 1,059.60

Under the capitalization weighted arithmetic mean method, the index as at the base date and today would be:

Base Date

Share

Price

Total shares

Capitalization

(price x no of shares)

Weightage

A

80.00

2,000

160,000

160/1902

0.0841

B

150.00

4,500

675,000

675/1902

0.3549

C

385.00

2,200

847,000

847/1902

0.4453

D

55.00

4,000

220,000

220/1902

0.1157

Base

   

1,902,000

 

1.0000

Index = 1.0000 x 1000 = 1000

Today

Share

Price

Total shares

Capitalization

(price x no of shares)

Weightage

A

80.00

2,000

160,000

160/1902

0.0841

B

130.00

4,500

585,000

585/1902

0.3076

C

425.00

2,200

935,000

935/1902

0.4916

D

75.00

4,000

300,000

300/1902

0.1577

Total

   

1,980,000

 

1.041

Base

   

1,902,000

   

Index = 1.0000 x 1.041 = 1,041

As mentioned some time before, the capitalization-weighted method is preferable to the price weighted method. This is especially true in the Indian context where a number of firms have a low number of outstanding shares.

What are the uses of indices for the various classes of market players?

Fund / Portfolio managers:

  • Derivatives trading – Fund managers can use indices to hedge their exposures in equities
  • Passive investment management – Index funds replicate the indices to earn the market returns
  • Benchmarking performance – Open and close-ended funds’ performances can be effectively benchmarked against the indices and this forms the basis for evaluation of performance of the various funds.

Traders / Market intermediaries:

  • Evaluating market sentiment – The indices help traders and the various market intermediaries to gauge the performance and sentiment for the market as a whole.

Corporates:

  • Comparison across market – Corporates can compare their performance with competitor’s performance, business group performance or market performance as a whole with the help of indices.

Individuals:

  • Individual investors can benchmark their own portfolio’s performance against the performance of the market as well as to gauge the performance of the market as a whole.

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