The Rs.1,282.98 crore offer for sale of Sansera Engineering IPO had been priced in the band of  Rs.734 to Rs.744 per share. The issue had closed on 16-Sep and the basis of allotment had been finalized on 21-Sep. With demat credits to eligible shareholders on 23-Sep, the stock is slated to get listed on the bourses on 24-Sep, Friday. Ahead of listing, one of the key information metrices of evaluating the potential listing is the grey market premium (GMP). 

While the GMP is not an official price point, it is a popular informal price point. That is a good gauge of informal demand and supply for the IPO and gives a broad idea of how the listing is likely to be and how the post-listing performance is likely to be. While the GMP is just an informal approximation, it is generally observed to be a good reflection of the real picture. More than the actual price, it is the GMP trend that matters. 

One of the key factors that impacts the GMP is the extent of oversubscription and the Sansera Engineering issue was oversubscribed 11.47 times overall. On a granular basis, it was the QIB segment that saw 26.47X subscription while the other two segments were relatively lower. That has surely made the GMP premiums quite muted in the informal trading market. 

Check Sansera Engineering IPO Subscription

As per updates on Thursday, 22-Sep, the Sansera Engineering IPO is commanding a premium of Rs.38-40 range on the issue price. The GMP was steady at around Rs.35 for the previous 3 days but on Thursday, the stock GMP has spiked sharply to the range of Rs.38-40. The GMP did see a spike after the sterling response to the Paras Defence IPO. 

That translates into a 5.4% premium over the issue price of Rs.744 at the upper end of the price band. Also, it hints at a listing price of approximately Rs.784 when the stock lists on Friday 23-Sep. Of course, subsequent price performance will depend on the selling pressure that emerges during the day. 

Also Read:-

Sansera Engineering IPO - 7 Things to Know

Upcoming IPOs in 2021

Upcoming IPOs in September 2021

With the success of the Paras Defence IPO, there are likely to be more defence service companies that are likely to hit the market. The latest case is Data Patterns that has just filed its DRHP with SEBI for a proposed Rs.700  crore IPO. The IPO will comprise of Rs.300 crore raised by way of fresh issue plus an offer for sale (OFS) of 60.707 lakh shares by the promoters and other shareholders.

Promoted nearly 30 years back, Data Patterns, is a reputed defence service provider based out of Chennai. Its core strength areas include design and development across hardware, software, firmware, mechanical and product proto types. The company is also into functional testing and validation. Its solutions are used in the Tejas LCA, light utility helicopters, BrahMos Missiles, precision radars and electronic intelligence systems.

The client list of Data Patterns largely includes PSU defence companies as well as government advanced research organizations like the DRDO and ISRO. It also works with PSU defence companies like Bharat Electronics and Hindustan Aeronautics, among others. Its order book stood at Rs.178 crore in 2018 and has since grown rapidly to touch a level of Rs.582 crore in the month of August 2021.

For the financial year ending FY21, the company reported revenues of Rs. 224 crore and net profits of Rs.56 crore implying a healthy net profit margin of 25%. The profits have grown nearly 2.5 times on a YoY basis. Data Patterns has gained immensely from the government decision to in-source as much as feasible of defence orders domestically as part of its Make in India and Atma Nirbhar programs.

The promoters of the company hold 59.95% stake in the company before IPO and the company is backed financially by Florintree Capital Partners. Incidentally, Florintree Capital was floated by Matthew Cyriac, the former India head of Blackstone Capital. He was one of the early investors in the company.

The Rs.170.78 crore IPO of Paras Defence & Space Technologies consists of a fresh issue of Rs.140.60 crore and an offer for sale or OFS of Rs.30.18 crore. The issue was fully subscribed on Day-1 itself and by the end of Day-3 it was heavily oversubscribed. As per the combined bid details put out by the BSE, Paras Defence & Space Technologies IPO was subscribed 304.26X overall at the close of Day-3 of the IPO. The bulk of the demand came from the HNI segment followed by QIBs and retail. The issue closed on Thursday, 23rd September.

Check: Paras Defence & Space Technologies IPO Subscription Day-2

As of close of 23rd September, out of the 71.41 lakh shares on offer in the IPO, Paras Defence & Space Technologies saw bids for 21,726.32 lakh shares. This implies an overall subscription of 304.26X. The granular break-up of subscriptions saw all the 3 segments robust at the close of Day-3. QIB bids surged on the last day of the IPO.

Paras Defence & Space Technologies IPO Subscription Day - 3
 

QIB Portion

The QIB subscription was subscribed 169.65 times at the close of Day-3. On 20 September, Paras Defence & Space Technologies did an anchor placement of 29.275 lakh shares at the upper end of the price band of Rs.175, raising Rs.51.23 crore. The list of QIB investors including a number of marquee names like Ashoka India Equity, Abakkus Emerging Opportunities Fund, Saint Capital, Nippon India Fund and HDFC Mutual Fund.

The QIB portion (net of anchor allocation) has a quota of 20.18 lakh shares of which it has got bids for 3,423.38 lakh shares, implying a subscription ratio of 169.65X for QIBs at the close of Day - 3. QIB bids, as usual, got bunched on the last day but the net impact was still positive.

HNI Portion

The HNI portion got subscribed 927.70X (getting applications for 14,257.44 lakh shares against the quota of 15.37 lakh shares). This issue saw robust response from Day-1 and this phenomenal response could be due to the small size of the IPO. Bulk of the funded applications and corporate applications came in on the last day.

Retail Individuals

The retail portion was subscribed a whopping 112.81X at the close of Day-3, showing strong retail appetite. For retail investors; out of the 35.86 lakh shares on offer, valid bids were received for 4,045.49 lakh shares, including bids for 3,066.90 lakh shares at the cut-off price. The IPO is priced in the band of (Rs.165-Rs175) and has closed on 23rd September.

Also Read:-

Paras Defence IPO - 7 things to know

Upcoming IPOs in 2021

Upcoming IPOs in September 2021

In a market that has been largely obsessed with the rally in metal, FMCG and financial stocks, the realty story has been ignored. But the returns on some of realty stocks have been amazing. The Nifty Realty Index gained 8.6% on 22-Sep and it gained nearly 15% in 3 days. To top it all, the Nifty Realty Index is already trading at an all-time high. In the last 1 year, the Nifty Realty index is up 122%.

The table below captures the spike in major realty stocks from the lows of last one-year.
 

Data Source: NSE

The outperformance of realty companies in the last one year has been absolutely emphatic. The latest trigger came when Godrej Properties managed to sell property bookings worth Rs.575 crore in a single day, on launching its NCR project. The outperformance has been visible across companies that are prominent in key realty markets of India like Mumbai, NCR and Bengaluru. These are the companies that benefited the most.

The state governments have also helped the cause. For example, Mumbai alone is expected to see about 7,000 property registrations in Sep-21. Karnataka state has cut stamp duty on mid-range flats from 5% to 3%. Mumbai had adopted a similar strategy of waiving registration charges for properties some time ago.

Are there more fundamental triggers?

Rates are at historic lows with home loans available at around 6.6% for high-rated borrowers. There are a lot of global credit funds that have become active in India and are trying to fill the void left by NBFCs in realty funding. The net result is that Indian realty is finally looking up after a long spell of quiescence. That is good for asset classes overall.

Also Read: NSE Revises Stock Selection Criteria for Nifty Indices

Sansera Engineering had a sound listing on 24th September as it listed at a better premium than indicated by the GMP and managed to hold on to the gains. Sansera Engineering listed at a premium of 9.07% and traded through the day in a range of Rs.40. The stock closed the day, well above the listing price. With overall subscription of 11.47X, listing response was in line with the sound subscription. Here is the Sansera Engineering listing story on 24 September.

The Sansera Engineering IPO price was fixed at the upper end of the band at Rs.744 after the 11.47X subscription. The price band for the IPO was Rs.734 to Rs.744. On 24 Sep, the stock of Sansera Engineering listed on the NSE at a price of Rs.811.50, a premium of 9.07% over the issue price. On the BSE, the stock listed at a price of Rs.811.35, a listing premium of 9.05%.

On the NSE, Sansera Engineering closed on 24-Sep at a price of Rs.818.05, a first day closing premium of 9.95% over the issue price. On the BSE, the stock closed at Rs.818.70, a first day closing premium of 10.04% over the issue price. On both the exchanges, the stock of Sansera managed to hold and marginally build on its listing premium quite effectively.

On Day-1 of listing, Sansera Engineering touched a high of Rs.841.95 on the NSE and a low of Rs.801. On Day-1 of listing, the Sansera Engineering stock traded a total of 125.20 lakh shares on NSE amounting to value of Rs.1,028.89 crore. On Day-1, Sansera Engineering was the fourteenth most liquid stock on the NSE by trading value.

On the BSE, Sansera Engineering touched a high of Rs.842 and a low of Rs.800.80. On BSE, the stock traded a total of 11.43 lakh shares amounting to value of Rs.94.15 crore. On Day-1, Sansera Engineering was the thirteenth most liquid stock on the BSE by trading value.

At the close of Day-1 of listing, Sansera Engineering had a market capitalization of Rs.4,206 crore with free-float market cap of just Rs.1,010 crore. 

Also Read: 

Sansera Engineering IPO - 7 Things to Know

Upcoming IPOs in 2021

IPOs in September