Nifty Outlook 14 Mar 2023

Nifty Outlook 14 Mar 2023
Nifty Outlook 14 Mar 2023

Market Outlook
by Ruchit Jain Last Updated: Mar 14, 2023 - 11:09 am 214 Views

Nifty started trading for the week on a flat note and witnessed upmove to surpass 17500 in the first half an hour. However, that pullback move did not last long as the index witnessed selling pressure gradually which continued throughout the day and it ended the day around 17150 with a loss of about one and a half percent.

Nifty Today:

 

The positive opening witnessed selling interest as the markets participants seemed pessimist amidst the negative news flows in the U.S. The Nifty breached its previous swing low support while the India VIX rose 20%. The negative news on the U.S. had a negative sentimental impact on our markets too and the foreign institutional investors have increased their short positions in the index futures. The recent pullback moves towards 18134 in early February and again from the low of 17250 to 17800 in the first week of March was mainly due to short covering and no fresh long formations were seen. However, the correction in market has seen build up of fresh short positions which is a negative sign. But our markets have now been reacting more to the global markets moves and news flows and hence, the momentum in the global indices will continue to dictate the near term direction. Nifty has breached its swing lows of the month of February while the Bank Nifty index is much close to doing the same. Now the short term momentum remains negative but Nifty has support in the range of 16900-17100. The index could try to form a support base in this range as the other factors which the markets participants were worrying about recently; such as the US 10 year Bond Yield and the Dollar Index have cooled off which is good for equities. Market participants are advised to keep a close watch on the support range of 16900-17100.

 

INDIA VIX rises 20%, Nifty breached swing low support

 

Nifty Outlook Graph

 

 If the index shows any signs of bounce back from this support range then one can look for some contra buying opportunities, but if this support does not hold then one can look to stay on sideline for the time being.

 

Nifty & Bank Nifty Levels:

 

Nifty Levels

Bank Nifty Levels

           FINNIFTY Levels 

Support 1

17000

39120

                  17450

Support 2

16850

38670

                  17270

Resistance 1

17390

40350

                   17940

Resistance 2

17470

40650

                   18050

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About the Author

Ruchit Jain is Lead Research Analyst at 5paisa. He has a vast experience of 14 years in this field and is proficient in Technical and Derivatives Research. He has completed his CMT (U.S.A.) and has done Masters in the field of Finance at Mumbai University.

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Investment/Trading in securities Market is subject to market risk, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The risk of loss in trading and investment in Securities markets including Equites and Derivatives can be substantial.

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