Electronic Mart IPO Grey Market Premium (GMP)

Electronic Mart IPO GMP
Electronic Mart IPO GMP

IPOs
by 5paisa Research Team Last Updated: 2022-10-18T13:14:46+05:30

The Rs.500 crore IPO of Electronic Mart India Ltd comprises entirely of a fresh issue of shares worth Rs500 core. There is no offer for sale (OFS) component by the promoters or early shareholders of the company. The issue has been priced in the band of Rs.56 to Rs.59 per share and the IPO allotment price will be discovered post the book building of shares being completed during the IPO process. 


The issue opens for subscription on 04th October 2022 and closes for subscription on 07th October 2022 (both days inclusive). The basis of allotment will be finalized on 12th October 2022 and the refunds will be initiated on 13th October 2022. In addition, the demat credits are expected to happen on 14th October 2022 and the stock is scheduled to list on 17th October 2022. The grey market price (GMP) trading normally starts about 4-5 days prior to IPO opening and continues till the listing date. In the case of Electronic Mart India Ltd, we already have GMP data for the last 4 days, which should give a reasonable picture of the likely listing performance.


There are 2 factors that impact the GMP. Firstly, the market conditions have a deep impact on the GMP, which includes the levels of the Nifty and Sensex as well as the general IPO market and macro conditions. Secondly, the extent of subscription for the IPO across the retail and the QIB segments also has a deep impact on the GMP as it is indicative of investor interest in the stock. Generally, strong QIB subscription is a trigger for a spike in GMP.


There is one small point to remember here. The GMP is not an official price point, just a popular informal price point. However, in most cases, it has been observed to be a good informal gauge of demand and supply for the IPO. Hence it does give a broad idea of how the listing is likely to be and how the post-listing performance of the stock would be. 


GMP tends to be a good mirror of the real stock story. More than the actual price, it is the GMP trend over time that gives insights about which direction the wind is blowing.

Here is a quick summary for Electronic Mart IPO GMP till date:

Date

GMP

17-Oct-2022

Rs. 31

16-Oct-2022

Rs. 30

15-Oct-2022

Rs. 30

14-Oct-2022

Rs. 30

13-Oct-2022

Rs. 24

12-Oct-2022

Rs. 25

11-Oct-2022

Rs. 32

10-Oct-2022

Rs. 24

09-Oct-2022

Rs. 31

08-Oct-2022

Rs. 28

07-Oct-2022

Rs. 28

06-Oct-2022

Rs. 35

05-Oct-2022

Rs. 34

04-Oct-2022

Rs. 35

03-Oct-2022

Rs. 31

02-Oct-2022

Rs. 33

01-Oct-2022

Rs. 32

30-Sep-2022

Rs. 32

29-Sep-2022

Rs. 21

 In the above case, the EMI IPO GMP trend shows that the grey market premium has opened on 29th September at around Rs21 and has since surged above the Rs30 mark. Of course, we have to await for the actual subscription numbers to flow in when the issue opens for subscription on 04th October, as that would have a very significant impact on the GMP. In the past, stocks which got over subscribed in the IPO also saw a very robust positive shift in the grey market pricing. For a start, Electronic Mart India Ltd has shown good traction in the grey market.

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If you consider the upper end of the price band of Electronic Mart India Ltd at Rs.59 as the indicative price, then the likely listing price is being signalled at around Rs.89 per share. One data point to track will be the subscription update on the stock as that would chart the GMP course from here. As mentioned, the institutional QIB subscription is a key trigger for the GMP pricing.


The Electronic Mart IPO GMP of Rs.30 on a likely upper band pricing of Rs.59 indicates a listing premium of a healthy 50.85% for Electronic Mart India Ltd over the listing price. That pre-supposes a listing price of approximately Rs.89 per share, when Electronic Mart India Ltd lists on 17th October 2022. Of course, these are approximations, so you must keep a margin of safety. However, that would depend on the GMP sustaining over the next few days after the issue opens.


GMP (grey market price) is an important indicator, albeit informal, of likely listing price. One cannot take this price at face value However, the GMP tends to be quite dynamic and changes direction with the flow of news and events. Investors must note here that this is just an informal indication and has no official acceptance. The best thing one can do with the EMI IPO GMP is to observe the trend closely as that gives the best hints on listing status. Focus on the time series trend than on numbers.


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Disclaimer

Investment/Trading in securities Market is subject to market risk, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The risk of loss in trading and investment in Securities markets including Equites and Derivatives can be substantial.

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