Uma Converter IPO GMP (Grey Market Premium)

Uma Converter IPO worth Rs. 18.41 crore, comprises entirely of a fresh issue of the IPO amount. The total SME IPO of Uma Converter Ltd entails the issue of 55,80,000 shares at a price of Rs. 33 per share aggregating to Rs. 18.41 crore. The stock has a face value of Rs. 10 and retail bidders can bid in minimum lot size of 4,000 share each, entailing a minimum investment of Rs. 132,000 in the IPO. That is also the maximum that a retail investor can apply for in the IPO. HNIs can bid in minimum of 2 lots comprising of 8,000 shares of Uma Converter Ltd and entailing an investment value of Rs. 264,000. As per the terms of the offer, 50% of the net offer is reserved for the retail investors and the balance 50% for the HNIs. It is a fixed price issue and SMC Global Securities Limited will act as the market maker for the SME IPO of Uma Converter Ltd. It will be listed on the NSE SME segment.

The issue opened for subscription on 15th December 2022 and closes for subscription on 21st December 2022 (both days inclusive). The basis of allotment will be finalized on 26th December 2022 and the refunds will be initiated on 27th December 2022. In addition, the demat credits are expected to happen on 28th December 2022 and the stock is scheduled to list on 29th December 2022 on the NSE SME segment. This is the segment, in contrast to the mainboard, where IPOs of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are incubated. The grey market price (GMP) trading normally starts about 4-5 days prior to IPO opening and continues till the listing date. In the case of Uma Converter Ltd, we already have GMP data for the last 4 days, which should give a reasonable picture of the likely listing.

There are 2 factors that impact the GMP. Firstly, the market conditions have a deep impact on the GMP, especially the liquidity conditions in the market. Secondly, the extent of subscription for the IPO has a deep impact on the GMP as it is indicative of investor interest in the stock. GMP can also technically be in negative, which means the stock would list at a discount to the issue price.

There is one small point to remember here. The GMP is not an official price point, just a popular informal price point. However, in most cases, it has been observed to be a good informal gauge of demand and supply for the IPO. Hence it does give a broad idea of how the listing is likely to be and how the post-listing performance of the stock would be.

GMP tends to be a good mirror of the real stock story. More than the actual price, it is the GMP trend over time that gives insights about which direction the wind is blowing. Here is a quick GMP summary for Uma Converter Ltd for the 4 days, data is available.

In the above case, the GMP trend shows that the grey market premium has opened at around Rs. 10, but has been extremely volatile in the range of Rs. 2 to Rs. 6. Of course, we have to await for the actual subscription numbers to flow in when the issue opens for subscription and also watch the progress, as that would have a very significant impact on the GMP. In the past, stocks which got oversubscribed in the IPO also saw a very robust positive shift in the grey market pricing. For a start, Uma Converter Ltd has shown good traction in the grey market.

If you consider the price of the IPO of Uma Converter Ltd at Rs. 33, then the likely listing price is being signalled at around Rs. 39 per share as per the GMP indicator on 16th December. This is dynamic and keeps changing. One data point to track will be the subscription update on the stock as that would chart the GMP course from here.

The GMP of Rs. 6 on a fixed IPO price of Rs. 33 indicates a listing premium of a healthy 18.18% for Uma Converter Ltd over the listing price. That pre-supposes a listing price of approximately Rs. 39 per share, when Uma Converter Ltd lists on 29th December 2022. Of course, these are approximations, so you must keep a margin of safety. However, that would depend on the GMP sustaining over the next few days after the issue opens. The best thing one can do with the GMP is to observe the trend closely as that gives the best hints on listing status. Focus on the time series trend than on numbers.

Uma Converter Ltd was founded in year 2000 and is engaged in manufacture of flexible packaging material. The product portfolio of Uma Converter comprises of multi-colour pouches, stand-up pouches, zip-lock pouches, vacuum pouches etc. In terms of value added services, Uma Converter is also into implementing various printing and lamination processes for third parties on a job-work basis. It has a service agreement with Ambuja Cement for disposal of plastic waste in a green manner in the cement kiln process.

Its products find applications in the food and beverage sector, e-commerce industry, pharmaceutical industry, hygiene and personal care industry and the agricultural sector. Uma Converter also has an R&D division to work on continuous improvement of technologies developed in-house. Its two manufacturing plants are located in the state of Gujarat. The issue of Uma Converter Ltd will be lead managed by GYR Capital Advisors Ltd and the registrars to the issue will be Bigshare Services Private Limited.