Tariff Clock Ticks Down: India-US Mini Trade Deal on the Verge of Closure Amid Deadline Pressure
Asian Stocks Tumble Amid Tariff Whiplash; Indian Markets Follow Suit

Asian stock markets dived on Friday, rattled by fresh concerns that U.S.–China trade tensions might be on the rise again. A surprise U.S. court decision to reinstate a batch of tariffs from the Trump era triggered a wave of market unease, dragging down stocks across the Asia-Pacific. India wasn’t spared either; major indexes there closed with notable losses.
Court Ruling Rekindles Trade War Anxiety
Late Thursday, a U.S. appeals court delivered a surprise twist to the markets. It temporarily reinstated tariffs that a lower court had previously struck down. These Trump-era tariffs had been dormant for a while, and the decision caught investors off guard.
With a new election cycle heating up in the U.S., the move sparked fears that a protectionist trade stance might return, especially if Trump makes a comeback. Even though the Biden administration hasn’t rolled back many of those tariffs, this sudden shift stirred anxiety.
“The timing and the nature of the ruling shook the market,” said Emily Tan, senior analyst at Tokyo-based Mitsui Securities. “It reminded everyone of the turbulence we saw during the 2018–2019 trade war and raised questions about what comes next.”
Markets Across Asia in Retreat
Friday’s session saw red across the board:
- Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.45%. Big tech exporters like Sony and Panasonic lost more than 2%.
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng tumbled 1.6%, with chipmakers and AI firms getting hit hardest amid fears of new restrictions targeting China.
- The Shanghai Composite slipped 0.52%. Chinese exporters braced for tougher access to U.S. markets.
- South Korea’s KOSPI shed 1.2%, with Samsung and other chip stocks leading the fall.
- Australia’s ASX 200 slid 1.3%. Mining giants like BHP and Rio Tinto were in the red as global trade sentiment weakened.
Futures Indicate Further Weakness
Before U.S. markets even opened, futures hinted at more trouble ahead. Dow Jones futures were down 0.3%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.5%, tech stocks looked especially shaky.
Investors shifted to safer bets, such as U.S. Treasury bonds, which caused yields to decline. The 10-year yield eased to 4.31%, and the U.S. dollar also lost some ground against the yen and euro, reflecting growing caution.
India Joins the Global Slide
India’s markets didn’t escape the global downturn. On Thursday, May 29, the BSE Sensex fell 232 points to 74,968. The NSE Nifty 50 also slipped below 24,800, losing 0.3%.
Tech and export-heavy stocks were the most severely impacted. The Nifty IT index dropped 1.1%. Infosys and Wipro each sank more than 2% as concerns about demand from North America mounted.
Not all sectors suffered equally. HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank managed to close slightly higher, thanks to solid earnings and steady loan growth. Reliance Industries was flat after bouncing back from early losses.
Back home, investors are also watching for key economic updates. India’s Q4 GDP data is due out later today, and it’s expected to show growth between 6.7% and 7%. Solid domestic spending and investment are likely to be the driving forces.
“India’s fundamentals are still strong,” said one analyst, “but with global uncertainty rising, we should brace for some choppy waters ahead.”
Broader Economic and Political Backdrop
This tariff scare isn’t happening in a vacuum. Inflation, although cooling, remains above the level central banks desire. Policymakers in both the United States and India are attempting to strike a balance between curbing prices and promoting economic growth.
Politics are adding more fuel to the fire. A Trump return could mean a sharp pivot back to aggressive trade tactics, which would shake up global alliances and markets alike. Meanwhile, China’s economy isn’t offering much comfort. Despite various stimulus measures, growth remains uneven, youth unemployment is high, real estate is shaky, and manufacturing is slowing.
Outlook: Navigating the Storm
Yes, markets took a hit, but analysts are urging calm. Many believe the sell-off is a knee-jerk reaction to headlines rather than the start of a broader crisis.
“We’re seeing panic-selling right now, but the long-term story hasn’t changed,” said another analyst. “India, especially, still looks solid thanks to its strong internal demand and policy stability.”
Still, in the short term, don’t expect things to settle down. Investors will be closely watching:
- India’s Q4 GDP data
- U.S. core PCE inflation numbers
- The upcoming G7 summit, where trade will likely be a hot topic
Conclusion
Friday’s plunge across Asian markets is a reminder of how fragile investor confidence can be in today’s uncertain world. Even economies like India, which have strong internal momentum, aren’t immune to global shocks.
If you’re investing or just watching the markets, now is a good time to stay alert, keep your portfolio diversified, and monitor the political landscape, especially developments from the U.S. and China.
One thing’s for sure: the old ghosts of tariff wars aren’t gone. And with elections looming across major economies, uncertainty is still the name of the game.
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