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Grey Market Premium of Paytm IPO

Grey Market Premium of Paytm IPO
by 5paisa Research Team 16/11/2021

The Rs.18.300 crore IPO of One97 Communications (Paytm) consisted of a fresh issue of Rs.8,300 crore and an offer for sale of Rs.10,000 crore. The issue had been priced in the band of Rs.2,080 to Rs.2,150 per share and the price has been discovered at Rs.2,150. The issue had closed for subscription on 10-Nov and the basis of allotment had been finalized on 15-Nov.

Shareholders are expected to get their refunds on 16-Nov and their demat credits by 17-Nov and the stock is likely to list on Thursday 18th November. Ahead of listing, one of the key parameters for evaluating the potential listing is the GMP or the grey market price.

A word of caution here. The GMP is not an official price point, just a popular informal price point. However, in most cases, it has proved to be a good informal gauge of demand and supply for the IPO. Hence it does give a broad idea of how the listing is likely to be and how the post-listing performance would be.

While the GMP is just an informal approximation, it has been generally seen to be a good mirror of the real story. More than the actual price, it is the GMP trend over time that really gives the insights about the stock being upgraded or downgraded.

One of the key factors that impacts the GMP in most cases, is the extent of oversubscription. Now, Paytm IPO was oversubscribed just about 1.89 times overall. On a granular basis, it was the QIB segment that led the way with 2.79X subscription while HNIs were just 0.24X and Retail was 1.66X. That has led to the GMP premiums tapering in the last few days since the start of November.

As per updates coming in on Tuesday, 16-Nov, the One97 Communications (Paytm) IPO is commanding a premium of just about Rs.30 over the issue price in the grey market. The GMP has retraced sharply from a high of Rs.150 on 07 November to Rs.70 on 09 November and down to just Rs.30 in the last 2 days, indicating a listing close to the issue price.

Check - Paytm IPO - Subscription Day 3

The current GMP of Rs.30 for One97 Communications (Paytm) translates into a mere 1.40% premium over the discovered price of Rs.2,150. It also hints at a listing price of approximately Rs.2,180 when the stock lists on Thursday 18-Nov.

Of course, subsequent price performance will depend on HNI selling as well as institutional interest in the stock, but prima facie it does indicate a tepid listing for One97 Communications (Paytm).

Also Read:-

Upcoming IPOs in 2021

Upcoming IPOs in November 2021

PayTm IPO - 7 Things to Know

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e-Mudhra Files DRHP with SEBI for IPO

e-Mudhra Files DRHP with SEBI for IPO
by 5paisa Research Team 16/11/2021

If you have ever used digital signature certificates for transacting of any of the routine businesses, you would be familiar with e-Mudhra.

A digital signature is a computer embedded code that is downloaded on to your PC or laptop and can be used to digitally sign documents since the digital signature is equivalent to an actual signature for all legal purposes.

The largest player in the issue of digital signature certificates in India is e-Mudhra. Currently, in India, e-Mudhra is the largest licensed certifying authority for the issue of digital signatures and has over one-third of the Indian digital signature market.

To further expand its digital signature franchise and to give partial exit to early investors and promoters, e-Mudhra is now planning a public issue.

The proposed initial public offer will be a combination of a fresh issue and an offer for sale. The fresh issue will be to the tune of Rs.200 crore while e-Mudhra will offer 85,10,638 shares under the OFS.

Some of the promoters and early investors offering shares in the OFS include Venkatraman Srinivasan 32.89 lakh shares, Taarav Pte Ltd 31.91 lakh shares, Kaushik Srinivasan, 5.11 lakh shares, Arvind Srinivasan 8.82 lakhs shares and others 1.33 lakh shares.

E-Mudhra is also planning to raise Rs.39 crore via pre-IPO placement, in which case the issue size will be reduced accordingly.

Out of the fresh funds raised by the company in the IPO, it will deploy Rs.46 crore for equipment purchase and data centre costs, Rs40 crore for working capital and Rs.35 crore for debt repayment. It will also allocate Rs.15 crore each for product development and to invest in E-Mudhra Inc.

E-Mudhra has a 38% market share as of the end of FY21 and has till date issued more than 5 crore digital certificates since its inception.

Digital certificates are mandatory for filing income tax returns, ROC filings, foreign trade, filing of tenders, railway documentation, banking documentation etc. All directors of any organization are mandatorily required to only sign documents digitally.

For FY21, E-Mudhra had reported revenues of Rs.131.59 crore and net profits of Rs.25.35 crore. Its profits promise to grow substantially if you go by the Rs.92 crore revenue and Rs.20 crore profit reported for the first half of FY22. The issue will be lead managed by IIFL Securities and Yes Securities.

Also Read:-

Upcoming IPOs in 2021

Upcoming IPOs in November 2021

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MSCI Additions and Deletions From 30-Nov

MSCI Additions and Deletions From 30-Nov
by 5paisa Research Team 16/11/2021

Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI), the largest provider of country specific indices to global portfolio managers, has announced a few interesting shifts in the MSCI Global Standard India Index. Here are the 7 stocks that are being added to the MSCI index effective from 30-Nov close and the 2 stocks that are going to be removed.
 

Stocks to be added:


1) Godrej Properties
2) IRCTC
3) Mindtree Ltd
4) Mphasis Ltd
5) SRF Ltd
6) Tata Power
7) Zomato Ltd


Stocks to be removed:


1) Rural Electrification Corporation 
2) IPCA Laboratories

The 7 stocks that are being added to the MSCI Global Standard India Index will result in net inflows of around $1.45 billion.

However, if you factor in the outflows due to the removal of REC and IPCA, then the net inflows from global fund managers would be to the extent of $1.25 billion. That is substantial flows that is expected as part of the rebalancing.


How exactly do these flows come about?


Some of the biggest participants in the Indian markets are global passive funds. Now, passive funds do not take view on specific stocks or sectors but on markets as a whole. They do it through representative indices.

One of the most popular benchmarks for these passive investors to allocate money to various countries is via these country specific indices offered by MSCI. It is estimated that  90% of the global fund managers allocated based on MSCI.

Passive funds broadly comprise of global index funds and global exchange traded funds or ETFs. These index funds and ETFs prefer the MSCI indices since they are created using a fine-tuned methodology considering liquidity at a micro and macro level.

This ensures that they are able to allocate large sums of money to such markets by just riding on these indices. The only consideration for such investors is the tracking error, which is monitored by MSCI.

It is not just about the MSCI inclusion. It is estimated that an MSCI inclusion normally is followed by inclusion in the FTSE world index too.

That would lead to further flows of capital. In addition, a slew of brokers, traders and investors also trade on these stocks ahead of the shift creating more liquidity in these counters.

Also Read:-

MSCI India Index Rebalancing

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NSE Likely to Get Clearance from SEBI for Big Ticket IPO

NSE Likely to Get Clearance from SEBI for Big Ticket IPO
by 5paisa Research Team 16/11/2021

Nearly 5 years after the discussion of the NSE IPO began, it looks all set to see the light of day. It is reported that SEBI may finally give approval to NSE to go ahead and file for its IPO.

While the IPO size is yet to be ascertained, NSE is expected to command a valuation of more than Rs. 2 trillion. Currently, BSE and the MCX are the two exchanges that are already listed on the bourses.

The initial IPO plan of NSE was launched in the year 2016, just a couple of months before Mr. Ajay Tyagi assumed office as SEBI chairman.

However, subsequently, the data breach issue assumed serious proportions after which SEBI had asked NSE to withdraw their offer documents till the time the entire data breach issue was fully resolved. It was only in May 2019 that SEBI framed charges against senior NSE officials over the data breach.

SEBI has reportedly sought legal opinion on the subject and the opinion appears to be in favour of allowing NSE to go ahead with the IPO plans even though the case is still sub-judice. Since there is no stay order given by any court on the public issue, the legal opinion is in favour of allowing NSE to go ahead with the IPO plans.

SEBI had imposed a total penalty of Rs.1,000 crore on NSE, including disgorgement of losses caused to other traders and brokers due to the preferential treatment to a handful of brokers. The said order has been challenged by the NSE at the Securities Appellate Tribunal.

However, the reason there was no stay on the public issue was that NSE had not applied for the IPO. Now it remains to be seen, what is the response, although an approval is expected.

While the BSE was valued at a PE of 30-35 times, NSE is expected to get a much higher P/E in the range of 80-100 times considering its dominance in the futures and options space.

For the year ending Mar-21, NSE saw operating revenue grow by 60% at Rs.5,625 crore, while its net profits were up nearly 90% at Rs.3,574 crore. However, this profit figure may be misleading as a big chunk came from the sale of stake in the CAMS IPO last year.

NSE has marquee investors that includes domestic banks, institutions and global portfolio investors. Many have been waiting for the public issue for a partial exit from their holdings and monetizing part of their holdings. The actual IPO may still be some time away, the first challenge is getting the IPO approval.

Also Read:-

Upcoming IPOs in 2021

Upcoming IPOs in November 2021

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How to Buy Bonds via the Retail Direct Scheme?

How to Buy Bonds via the Retail Direct Scheme?
by 5paisa Research Team 16/11/2021

For the investors who always wanted to participate in government debt but did not know how to do it, there will be this all new “Retail Direct Scheme”.

This scheme will facilitate retail investors to direct buy government securities and other government issued bonds through an online portal making the process simple and absolutely transparent. Investors just need to open a Retail Direct Gilt Account with the RBI.

The entire account opening and account operating process is online and the necessary KYC documents like your bank details, PAN card details, Aadhar card details, etc must be uploaded online.

A valid email id for registration and a valid mobile number for registration is mandatory for participation in the Retail Direct scheme.

Under the Retail Direct Scheme, investors have the choice of investing in 4 broad asset classes viz. dated government securities, short term treasury bills, state development loans (SDL) and sovereign gold bonds.

In the first 3 cases, the minimum investment will be Rs.10,000 and in case of sovereign gold bonds, the minimum investment will be 1 gram of gold. G-Secs can be bought in the primary auction or in the secondary market.

Individuals intending to buy government securities via primary auctions cannot place competitive bids. That means, they cannot specify the price at which they want to purchase the particular security. All bids by retail individuals have to necessarily be non-competitive only where the investors have to be price takers.

These securities bought through the retail direct scheme will be held in a specified gilt account with the RBI and not in your existing demat account.

However, in case you are already having government securities in your demat account, the same can be moved to the gilt account under the RBI Value Free Transfer (VFT) guidelines. Investors need to raise a request for the same in the online portal.

Also Read:-

Factors to Consider Before Investing in Bonds Directly

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Stocks For Short Term Trading November 17, 2021: Technical Analysis of BreakOut Stocks

Stocks to Buy for Short Term
by Ruchit Jain 17/11/2021

Breakout Stocks: What are the positive breakout stocks for today?

A breakout is a phase where stock price moves outside a consolidation with increased volumes. Such breakouts generally lead to good price movement in short term. In this column, we inform our readers the stocks which have given a breakout from the resistance as per technical analysis and can be good stocks to buy for short term. However, traders are advised to follow the given levels and trade with proper money management.

Today, we have picked two stocks which have given a breakout as per technical analysis

Best Stocks to Buy for Short Term

1. Welcorp

 

Welcorp

Image Source: Falcon


The stock price has been going through a consolidation phase since the month of June 2021 and it has formed an “Inverted Head and Shoulders” pattern on the daily chart. This pattern signals a bullish trade set up and traders should enter into a long position when the prices rise above the resistance of the neckline. As seen in the graph, the stock has given a breakout from the neckline in today’s session and volumes on breakout are also good compared to its daily average volumes. Hence, we are expecting an upmove in the stock in the short term.


Traders can look to buy this stock in the range of Rs. 152-150 with a stop loss placed below Rs. 144 for potential targets of Rs. 160 and Rs. 165 in the short term. 
 

Welspun Corp Ltd. (WELCORP) Share Price Target

- Buy Range: Rs.152-150

- Stop Loss: Rs.144

- Target 1: Rs.160

- Target 2: Rs.165

- Holding Period: 2 weeks

 

2. Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M)

mnm

 

Image Source: Falcon

The Nifty Auto index has given a breakout from a consolidation phase and hence, stocks from the Auto sector could outperform in the short term. Within this sector, Mahindra & Mahindra has witnessed good buying interest recently and seen in the given chart, prices have given a breakout from its previous high. IT has also been forming a ‘Higher Top Higher Bottom’ structure which indicates an uptrend and hence, short term traders should look to buy this stock on any declines. The support for the stock is now placed in the range of Rs. 950-940 and any dips in this range should be considered as buying opportunity.
 

Traders can look to buy this stock in the range of Rs. 950-940 with a stop loss below Rs.920 for a potential target of Rs.1000-1020 in the short term

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (M&M) Share Price Target

- Buy Range: Rs.950-940

- Stop Loss: Rs.920

- Target 1: Rs.1000-Rs.1020

- Holding Period: 2 weeks

 

Disclaimer:The investments discussed or recommended may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and only after consulting such independent advisors as may be necessary.

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