China's 2025 Trade Surplus Hits Record $1.2 Trillion Despite U.S. Tariffs

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Last Updated: 14th January 2026 - 05:30 pm

Summary:

China's trade surplus reaches record $1.2 trillion in 2025 despite Trump tariffs, as exports surge to non-US markets amid falling US shipments.

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In 2025, China had its biggest trade surplus ever of $1.2 trillion, despite a big drop in the U.S. exports due to new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. December's exports rose by 6.6% compared to December 2024, making them the fastest growing month in the past three months, as well as beating economists' forecasted growth of 3.1%. Imports increased by 5.7%, resulting in a monthly trade surplus of $114 billion, which was the largest surplus in six months, according to data released by China's General Administration of Customs on Wednesday.
When U.S. sales fell by over 30% in December (due to tariffs) and other markets became available to them, Chinese manufacturers quickly redirected their efforts toward foreign markets. As a result, the overall strength of China's exports continued to be strong throughout the year

Export Resilience Amid U.S. Decline

As shown in December, Chinese exports were stronger than the expectations from a Bloomberg economist's survey, which had forecasted only 3.1% growth. Momentum was maintained by strong shipments to regions other than the U.S. at the end of the year. The surplus indicates that Chinese manufacturing maintained a competitive advantage due to weak domestic demand due to declining prices in the real estate market and lower investment levels.
Although imports have returned to a level higher than expected, still there continues to be a large imbalance, exports continue to drive the second-largest economy in the world.

Domestic Challenges Fuel Surplus Growth

Due to very low domestic demand for imports, while at the same time the continued boom for the Chinese Exports to the World. The low internal demand leads to a decline in the demand for all foreign products due to lower investment in the Property Market. Therefore the increasing trade deficits lead to the increase of anti-Chinese Sentiments throughout the World as an outcome of the Chinese Government export subsidising New Markets.

To attempt to mitigate these losses, Chinese companies aggressively pursued their customers in Africa, Southeast Asia and Europe. These new markets have enabled the continued volume of trade to be sustained, as all markets are experiencing Trade Protectionism.

Global Implications and Trade Shifts

Nonetheless, the record trade surplus illustrates current international trade and economic frictions between countries, as Chinese companies were able to successfully reroute their goods, however; Foreign markets are concerned about the flooding of goods. Additionally, U.S. Tariffs on goods did not deter or reduce the total volume of exports by Chinese companies indicating how adaptable the Chinese supply chain is in overcoming trade tariffs.
The strong performance in December has again set another record of trade surplus for China. Continuing and ongoing issues surrounding the inefficient property market and limited investment will continue to create additional dependence on export of goods from China and the imbalance in global economic relations will increase in the direction of 2026.

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